PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xfa5df50500044852e19fb9b898e48eebd59e04a6

Realised P&L
$-27.82
Volume
$426.27
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$22.33

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2400.100$12.89$18.11
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2030.221$3.26+$0.26
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? · Yes0.0800.055$2.75$1.25
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1400.105$1.51$0.49
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.2900.145$1.00$1.00
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1670.077$0.92$1.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-01 15:18Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2029999345$2.00
07-01 15:18Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2029998536$1.00
06-03 06:45Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?BUY0.2590833385$21.00
06-03 06:39Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?BUY0.2090800331$10.00
06-03 06:36Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.2899999275$2.00
05-21 02:22Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?BUY0.0289999909$3.00
05-21 01:58Iran leadership change by May 31?BUY0.0409999622$1.00
05-21 01:57Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?BUY0.08$1.00
05-20 10:03Iran leadership change by May 31?BUY0.0636363347$2.00
05-20 10:01Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?BUY0.08$2.00
05-19 06:06Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?BUY0.08$1.00
05-18 12:56Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1399999426$2.00
05-18 12:56Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1669999431$2.00
05-18 05:46US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?BUY0.7299999679$5.00
05-17 15:06Iran leadership change by May 31?BUY0.0599999724$2.00