PolyBot

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Traders

Moaere

0xfa3e8c53e2cf5f4ea8b25bef54c134a68b1323e8

Realised P&L
$125.12
Volume
$3.9k
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$37.18

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)67.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections? · Yes0.2210.300$19.03+$5.03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2890.175$18.15−$11.85
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$9.00
Spread: England (-2.5) · England0.0860.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1330.000$0.00−$17.00
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$4.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April? · Yes0.1490.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? · Yes0.2070.000$0.00−$5.00
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$8.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET · Up0.3540.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET · Down0.2110.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET · Down0.0290.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 17:30Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.08$4.00
10-26 15:50Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0629999995$5.00
10-15 23:24Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?BUY0.2211538403$8.00
10-15 21:46Seahawks vs. BroncosBUY0.5699999886$10.00
10-15 17:54Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?BUY0.2199999941$6.00
07-18 19:09Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.3099999836$10.00
07-17 21:37Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2799999916$20.00
07-15 21:49Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL0.999$37.46
07-15 20:31Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.08$2.00
07-15 18:50Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.339999983$8.00
07-14 21:48Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY0.4169999817$10.00
07-14 21:07Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL0.999$43.43
07-14 17:18Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2269999847$10.00
07-14 14:59Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.39$28.86
07-06 02:03Spread: England (-2.5)BUY0.0859999642$2.00