Moaere
0xfa3e8c53e2cf5f4ea8b25bef54c134a68b1323e8
- Realised P&L
- $125.12
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $37.18
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)67.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.63at 0.485Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$33.20at 0.235Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$31.55at 0.053US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$30.29at 0.236Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$27.27at 0.180US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 17:30 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 10-26 15:50 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0629999995 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 23:24 | Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections? | BUY | 0.2211538403 | $8.00 |
| 10-15 21:46 | Seahawks vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 17:54 | Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections? | BUY | 0.2199999941 | $6.00 |
| 07-18 19:09 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 21:37 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2799999916 | $20.00 |
| 07-15 21:49 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.999 | $37.46 |
| 07-15 20:31 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 07-15 18:50 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.339999983 | $8.00 |
| 07-14 21:48 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4169999817 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 21:07 | Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.999 | $43.43 |
| 07-14 17:18 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2269999847 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 14:59 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.39 | $28.86 |
| 07-06 02:03 | Spread: England (-2.5) | BUY | 0.0859999642 | $2.00 |