0xfa3b6baeC47fe12e24a99f8a162838A8bd00DeaB-1776379670101
0xfa3b6baec47fe12e24a99f8a162838a8bd00deab
- Realised P&L
- $16.26
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $49.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.97at 0.664Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
- +$34.60at 0.532Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?
- +$33.48at 0.102Will Ashley Trail be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 1)?
- +$24.79at 0.298Will the announcers say "Bieber" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$22.62at 0.649Will Trump say "China" during Speech to the Nation?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 14:53 | Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.0307161905 | $6.45 |
| 09-13 15:21 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.018 | $1.93 |
| 09-08 18:22 | Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.0985903279 | $12.03 |
| 08-27 22:14 | Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.15 | $27.00 |
| 08-16 15:33 | Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? | BUY | 0.425049505 | $85.86 |
| 08-13 13:30 | Cincinnati Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Katerina Siniakova | BUY | 0.51 | $231.90 |
| 08-12 00:12 | Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | BUY | 0.21 | $8.19 |
| 08-01 23:42 | Counter-Strike: Teletubisie vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - United21 Group A | BUY | 0.5619440948 | $251.12 |
| 07-18 00:34 | Will the announcers say "Bieber" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.29 | $10.25 |
| 07-16 13:44 | Will Trump say "China" during Speech to the Nation? | BUY | 0.64 | $41.27 |
| 07-15 21:16 | Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Rush (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffs | BUY | 0.08 | $2.88 |
| 07-12 17:20 | Will Ashley Trail be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 1)? | BUY | 0.098 | $3.66 |
| 07-09 14:32 | Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in July? | BUY | 0.9 | $20.70 |
| 07-01 17:21 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0384339623 | $2.04 |
| 07-01 17:09 | Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03? | BUY | 0.0502682927 | $2.06 |