PolyBot

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Traders

kevkas2

0xfa38fd987e3710afdd5db1788132b3cf3d2b5493

Realised P&L
$119.15
Volume
$22.0k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$254.89

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.0380.399$105.00+$95.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.0900.635$70.56+$60.56
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.1500.865$57.67+$47.67
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? · No0.9400.980$10.42+$0.42
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.805$10.32+$0.32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? · Yes0.0700.006$0.93$9.07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$15.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4170.000$0.00$10.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.0340.000$0.00$5.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.0520.000$0.00$40.00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$10.00
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026? · No0.0010.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 12:01US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.48$4.35
08-07 12:01US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.3$9.00
08-07 12:00Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.93$10.21
08-07 11:59US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
08-07 11:59EU dissolves before 2027?SELL0.976$10.09
08-07 11:58US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999919$10.00
08-07 11:57US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0379999965$10.00
08-07 11:57US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.4799999827$10.00
08-07 11:57US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.8856108982$20.00
07-31 11:28Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.001$5.00
07-16 15:06Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4169999817$10.00
07-16 15:04Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?BUY0.0699999939$10.00
07-16 15:03Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.012$10.00
07-16 15:00 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?BUY0.011$10.00
06-15 17:58US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?BUY0.004$10.00