kevkas2
0xfa38fd987e3710afdd5db1788132b3cf3d2b5493
- Realised P&L
- $119.15
- Volume
- $22.0k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $254.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.00at 0.300US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
- +$15.55at 0.480US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$2.58at 0.886US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
- +$1.45at 0.874UFC: Will Conor McGregor Fight in 2026?
- +$0.22at 0.910Trump out as President before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 12:01 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.35 |
| 08-07 12:01 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $9.00 |
| 08-07 12:00 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $10.21 |
| 08-07 11:59 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 11:59 | EU dissolves before 2027? | SELL | 0.976 | $10.09 |
| 08-07 11:58 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 11:57 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0379999965 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 11:57 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999827 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 11:57 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.8856108982 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 11:28 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 15:06 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4169999817 | $10.00 |
| 07-16 15:04 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 07-16 15:03 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.012 | $10.00 |
| 07-16 15:00 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | BUY | 0.011 | $10.00 |
| 06-15 17:58 | US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $10.00 |