PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

i2ra4

0xfa28cc0e2f8e9e7b223f931a5fc57e0ae9d7bf30

Realised P&L
$152.97
Volume
$20.8k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$5.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9600.975$1.6k+$23.63
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.955$1.0k+$49.45
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9600.975$974.50+$14.50
Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9400.935$434.44$2.32
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.977$424.52+$16.08
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9500.940$282.00$3.00
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9580.958$239.50+$0.00
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9100.895$179.00$3.00
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.4200.405$60.75$2.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 19:452026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.42$63.00
08-02 19:43Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?BUY0.94$248.76
08-02 19:34Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.975$360.75
08-02 19:34Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?BUY0.95$285.00
08-02 19:30Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?BUY0.94$188.00
08-02 19:30Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.91$182.00
07-01 11:38Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.958$239.50
06-30 15:07Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.96$960.00
06-30 15:03Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.972$291.60
06-30 15:03Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.98$294.00
06-30 15:03Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.972$97.20
06-30 15:02Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.962$19.24
06-30 15:02Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.28$28.00
06-30 15:02Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.193$19.30
06-30 15:01Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.113$11.30