PolyBot

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Traders

spetzle

0xfa1cb73c33dac57223c1f92a085a0975c5758663

Realised P&L
$94.96
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$212.60

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? · No0.9510.948$126.58−$0.45
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? · No0.9200.915$64.05−$0.35
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · No0.6100.900$13.50+$4.35
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? · No0.6500.565$8.47−$1.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 08:31Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?BUY0.952$50.00
10-27 08:25Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?BUY0.951$77.03
10-27 08:23Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?BUY0.92$64.40
06-21 09:19Starmer out by June 30, 2026?SELL0.07$3.28
05-24 15:37SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?BUY0.65$3.25
05-24 15:36Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.92$46.00
05-24 15:34Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?BUY0.61$9.15
05-24 15:32Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?BUY0.88$2.58
05-24 15:21Starmer out by June 30, 2026?SELL0.74$31.97
04-13 07:16Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.9$45.00
04-13 07:14Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.988$79.04
04-12 11:31Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.81$64.80
04-10 09:39Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?SELL0.91$36.40
04-09 19:48Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?BUY0.93$37.20
04-01 20:09Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.74$22.20