PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ADAON

0xfa1c08c29e9d7028ef6c87925377ffcc8232b3d1

Realised P&L
$-97.69
Volume
$2.2k
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$6.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026? · Yes0.1600.225$4.22+$1.22
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.1500.185$2.47+$0.47
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$104.33
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$2.10
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$2.00
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan · Afghanistan0.0280.000$0.00−$2.80
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$12.33
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Elon tweet between 240 and 259 times September 5–12? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2080.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET · Up0.3240.000$0.00−$1.60
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$1.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 02:47Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?BUY0.4399999886$12.33
09-30 02:38Another Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.1499999925$2.00
09-30 02:33Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?BUY0.16$3.00
09-30 01:26US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.71$17.48
09-09 02:23US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.6699999911$16.50
06-23 04:14Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.5199999986$104.33
06-22 02:38Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.4299999954$45.57
06-22 02:37Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0339999838$2.00
06-22 02:33Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.02$2.00
06-22 02:32Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0219999927$3.00
06-22 02:31Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.037999988$3.00
06-21 01:43Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.8899999986$50.00
06-20 12:20Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.5699999959$28.90
06-20 12:20Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2079999584$3.00
06-20 12:20Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2199999531$3.00