PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SaturnAurum

0xfa199cceac2ce599c3d142b36586f7b76682f082

Realised P&L
$34.25
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
181
Open portfolio
$49.04

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded181
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2360.440$18.62+$8.62
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3580.580$16.19+$6.19
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2540.362$7.13+$2.13
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.2830.125$4.42$5.58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.5400.165$1.53$3.47
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.4770.055$1.15$8.85
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5980.000$0.00$5.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5270.000$0.00$6.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$1.00
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims) · Alexander Hernandez0.5390.000$0.00$3.01
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Cory Sandhagen0.5600.000$0.00$4.00
Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card) · Waldo Cortes Acosta0.6400.000$0.00$4.00
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$2.00
UFC Fight Night: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Main Card) · Charles Johnson0.2700.000$0.00$3.00
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Rob Font0.3000.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 15:42Noche UFC: Dan Ige vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.7899999905$5.00
09-12 15:41Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.29999994$1.00
09-12 15:41Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.299999985$2.00
09-12 15:40Noche UFC: Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)BUY0.3499999825$4.00
09-12 15:39Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.64$4.00
09-12 15:39Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.4899999584$4.00
09-12 15:37Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims)BUY0.589999941$4.00
09-12 15:35Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)BUY0.4099999816$2.00
09-12 15:35Noche UFC: Muslim Salikhov vs. Ignacio Bahamondes (Welterweight, Prelims)BUY0.1799999856$1.00
09-12 15:34Noche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card)BUY0.7899999289$2.00
08-28 15:15UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Cameron Nelson (Welterweight, Prelims)BUY0.5899999675$2.00
08-28 15:15UFC Fight Night: Yan Xiaonan vs. Denise Gomes (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)BUY0.5899999675$2.00
08-28 15:14UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.1699999422$2.00
08-28 15:13UFC Fight Night: Liu Ce vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.6199999297$3.00
08-28 15:12UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Cameron Nelson (Welterweight, Prelims)BUY0.5899999272$3.00