username13
0xfa120d7d45c77e15ecde157cc9c7099af899e785
- Realised P&L
- $-3.1k
- Volume
- $528.0k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.295 | 0.255 | $2.2k | −$342.82 |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.090 | 0.065 | $703.98 | −$267.13 |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.070 | $560.00 | −$320.00 |
| Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
| Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $160-170m opening weekend? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$182.35 |
| Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$349.95 |
| Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.1kat 0.320Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?
- +$-138.00at 0.086Will Fernanda Torres win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?
- +$-4.9kat 0.012No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 16:41 | Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $880.00 |
| 08-24 06:11 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $185.27 |
| 08-15 08:25 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $193.25 |
| 08-13 17:36 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $282.49 |
| 08-13 17:27 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $150.54 |
| 03-15 19:30 | Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0849288889 | $19.11 |
| 03-15 18:30 | Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.085688 | $21.42 |
| 03-14 11:02 | Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.109 | $5.34 |
| 03-14 11:00 | Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.1177954272 | $195.78 |
| 03-14 07:23 | Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.1581425203 | $19.45 |
| 03-14 07:22 | Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.156 | $8.58 |
| 03-14 00:00 | Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.158 | $23.79 |
| 03-13 23:59 | Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.1535591398 | $14.28 |
| 03-13 23:57 | Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.148 | $18.06 |
| 03-13 23:57 | Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.127 | $9.14 |