PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

username13

0xfa120d7d45c77e15ecde157cc9c7099af899e785

Realised P&L
$-3.1k
Volume
$528.0k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$3.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.2950.255$2.2k−$342.82
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · No0.0900.065$703.98−$267.13
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.1100.070$560.00−$320.00
Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.0930.000$0.00−$1.5k
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $160-170m opening weekend? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00−$182.35
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$349.95
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0850.000$0.00−$42.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 16:41Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.11$880.00
08-24 06:11Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.38$185.27
08-15 08:25Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.44$193.25
08-13 17:36Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4$282.49
08-13 17:27Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4$150.54
03-15 19:30Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.0849288889$19.11
03-15 18:30Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.085688$21.42
03-14 11:02Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.109$5.34
03-14 11:00Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.1177954272$195.78
03-14 07:23Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.1581425203$19.45
03-14 07:22Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.156$8.58
03-14 00:00Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.158$23.79
03-13 23:59Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.1535591398$14.28
03-13 23:57Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.148$18.06
03-13 23:57Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.127$9.14