PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lisan-al-gaib93

0xfa04eb177f727ec9841caf67055471cf068d7818

Realised P&L
$25.00
Volume
$999.19
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$435.08

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · Yes0.4500.770$166.66+$69.26
Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government? · Yes0.7300.675$73.97−$6.03
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · No0.6100.860$69.84+$20.30
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · No0.3330.245$42.66−$15.37
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes0.2400.175$42.29−$15.71
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8600.775$39.65−$4.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 22:51Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?BUY0.3332832193$58.03
09-26 22:51Will Trump and Putin not meet?BUY0.2399999997$58.00
09-21 13:27Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.8599999949$44.00
09-21 13:25Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.7299999982$80.00
09-20 01:59Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.8$100.00
09-14 19:44Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6099999982$49.54
09-14 19:37Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.4499999988$97.40