PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Siranox

0xf9fe14515b96c418ef5c9f6bb835ea74e0d4d54e

Realised P&L
$196.42
Volume
$36.5k
Markets traded
139
Open portfolio
$500.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded139
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8960.954$180.24+$10.83
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9160.922$92.25+$0.65
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8900.633$57.02$23.06
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.5390.440$35.16$7.96
Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026? · No0.7530.924$23.10+$4.28
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1150.086$22.49$7.41
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · No0.6700.955$19.10+$5.70
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · No0.7500.925$18.50+$3.50
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0240.011$13.57$17.88
Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0020.003$12.50+$2.50
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0440.015$12.47$25.72
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.7400.961$6.49+$1.49
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0090.003$3.00$6.00
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2490.021$2.79$29.60
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? · No0.4400.105$2.10$6.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-31 18:43Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.4655899898$20.00
07-07 16:39Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.897$17.94
06-02 18:33Will Valve remove Dust 2 from the Map Pool?SELL0.028$1.15
06-02 18:33Will Valve remove Inferno from the Map Pool?SELL0.05$5.54
06-02 18:33Will Valve remove Mirage from the Map Pool?SELL0.05$5.00
05-22 09:04Thunder vs. SpursBUY0.54$10.80
05-21 18:50Will Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?SELL0.03$7.23
05-21 18:49Will Valve remove Ancient from the Map Pool?BUY0.95$34.20
05-21 18:49Will Valve remove Inferno from the Map Pool?BUY0.95$30.40
05-21 18:49Will Valve remove Mirage from the Map Pool?BUY0.94$28.20
05-19 08:35Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?BUY0.012$0.59
05-19 08:34Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?BUY0.45$45.00
05-07 16:43Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.012$23.64
04-16 09:35Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?BUY0.4399999921$19.33
04-16 09:35Will FURIA win IEM Rio 2026?BUY0.8$19.76