0xf9fa530a5a624199bc15c2815b9fe29a463bee29
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $105.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.645 | $103.82 | +$23.34 |
| US recession by end of 2026? · No | 0.670 | 0.945 | $1.41 | +$0.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.99at 0.280Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?
- +$6.59at 0.450Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
- +$5.03at 0.520Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?
- +$5.01at 0.824Will Johnnie LaRossa win The Bachelorette Season 22?
- +$0.05at 0.999Will Alibaba have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-09 15:08 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on April 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.98 |
| 03-28 03:30 | Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.53 | $96.19 |
| 03-28 02:13 | Will Cúcuta Deportivo FC win on 2026-04-19? | SELL | 0.73 | $131.03 |
| 03-28 02:04 | Will Petros Mantalos record the most cards in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League? | SELL | 0.75 | $130.40 |
| 03-28 01:55 | Will George Pickens play for New York Giants in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.88 | $156.53 |
| 03-28 01:46 | Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.5 | $93.54 |
| 03-27 09:14 | Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April? | SELL | 0.76 | $125.89 |
| 03-25 05:20 | Jeju SK FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.5 | $31.20 |
| 03-21 22:49 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model for coding on March 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $53.00 |
| 03-20 03:40 | Will Johnnie LaRossa win The Bachelorette Season 22? | SELL | 0.91 | $52.98 |
| 03-20 02:52 | Will Roasso Kumamoto win on 2026-04-12? | SELL | 0.52 | $57.73 |
| 03-18 12:59 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027? | SELL | 0.55 | $113.51 |
| 03-18 11:43 | Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $69.26 |
| 03-18 09:49 | Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $33.76 |
| 03-18 09:24 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $183.75 |