PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

im3x8a7io4al

0xf9fa39083e1c10c91bc2482d9fe4f75ef6c7222b

Realised P&L
$409.51
Volume
$158.4k
Markets traded
1,318
Open portfolio
$231.53

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,318
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration67.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? · Yes0.0420.025$174.26$125.73
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? · Yes0.1500.120$26.53$6.62
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · Yes0.3700.195$26.35$23.65
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0280.018$2.09$1.12
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0580.002$1.28$48.72
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.6700.680$1.01+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-12 03:15Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?SELL0.9$3.00
08-08 00:56Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?BUY0.0517821692$100.00
07-24 16:13Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?SELL0.997$1.2k
07-20 22:09Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?BUY0.1565108514$75.00
07-19 05:04Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?BUY0.1084577096$50.00
07-04 01:23Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?BUY0.1959823415$50.00
06-22 10:34Starmer out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.999$3.10
06-15 13:37Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?BUY0.3699999957$50.00
06-15 13:37Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?BUY0.2752648458$50.00
06-15 13:36Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?SELL0.8294768722$30.13
04-29 15:42Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.908$68.75
04-29 15:41Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.51$115.93
04-01 00:23US strike on Mexico by December 31?SELL0.76$2.53
04-01 00:22Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.9$5.01
04-01 00:21Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?SELL0.999$11.49