PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

im3x8a7io4al

0xf9fa39083e1c10c91bc2482d9fe4f75ef6c7222b

Realised P&L
$282.48
Volume
$158.4k
Markets traded
1,318
Open portfolio
$53.38

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,318
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration72.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? · Yes0.1500.120$26.53−$6.63
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · Yes0.3700.165$22.30−$27.70
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0280.024$2.65−$0.56
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.6700.988$1.47+$0.47
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0580.001$0.43−$49.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-12 03:15Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?SELL0.9$3.00
08-08 00:56Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?BUY0.0517821692$100.00
07-24 16:13Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?SELL0.997$1.2k
07-20 22:09Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?BUY0.1565108514$75.00
07-19 05:04Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?BUY0.1084577096$50.00
07-04 01:23Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?BUY0.1959823415$50.00
06-22 10:34Starmer out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.999$3.10
06-15 13:37Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?BUY0.3699999957$50.00
06-15 13:37Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?BUY0.2752648458$50.00
06-15 13:36Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?SELL0.8294768722$30.13
04-29 15:42Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.908$68.75
04-29 15:41Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.51$115.93
04-01 00:23US strike on Mexico by December 31?SELL0.76$2.53
04-01 00:22Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.9$5.01
04-01 00:21Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?SELL0.999$11.49