im3x8a7io4al
0xf9fa39083e1c10c91bc2482d9fe4f75ef6c7222b
- Realised P&L
- $409.51
- Volume
- $158.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,318
- Open portfolio
- $231.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,318
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.025 | $174.26 | −$125.73 |
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.120 | $26.53 | −$6.62 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.195 | $26.35 | −$23.65 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.018 | $2.09 | −$1.12 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.002 | $1.28 | −$48.72 |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.680 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$996.31at 0.153Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$368.43at 0.729LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
- +$338.60at 0.497Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?
- +$331.52at 0.325Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
- +$242.85at 0.347Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 03:15 | Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9 | $3.00 |
| 08-08 00:56 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | BUY | 0.0517821692 | $100.00 |
| 07-24 16:13 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.997 | $1.2k |
| 07-20 22:09 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.1565108514 | $75.00 |
| 07-19 05:04 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.1084577096 | $50.00 |
| 07-04 01:23 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.1959823415 | $50.00 |
| 06-22 10:34 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.10 |
| 06-15 13:37 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.3699999957 | $50.00 |
| 06-15 13:37 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | BUY | 0.2752648458 | $50.00 |
| 06-15 13:36 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.8294768722 | $30.13 |
| 04-29 15:42 | Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.908 | $68.75 |
| 04-29 15:41 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.51 | $115.93 |
| 04-01 00:23 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | SELL | 0.76 | $2.53 |
| 04-01 00:22 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9 | $5.01 |
| 04-01 00:21 | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | SELL | 0.999 | $11.49 |