zivolas
0xf9e172942a2bd1ebe961abf9e322ee71cbd7421f
- Realised P&L
- $-217.30
- Volume
- $18.6k
- Markets traded
- 533
- Open portfolio
- $35.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded533
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.40at 0.307Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
- +$23.31at 0.465Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8PM ET
- +$23.27at 0.460Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 22?
- +$18.40at 0.578Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
- +$15.44at 0.090Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 20:27 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.63 |
| 09-22 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.83 |
| 09-22 18:47 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.30 |
| 09-22 18:05 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.72 | $4.90 |
| 09-22 16:56 | Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30? | BUY | 0.29 | $4.90 |
| 09-22 16:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 24°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.56 | $1.86 |
| 09-22 15:54 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.68 | $4.90 |
| 09-22 06:33 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 09-22 04:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.84 |
| 09-22 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.98 |
| 09-22 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.39 |
| 09-22 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.55 |
| 09-22 01:49 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.66 |
| 09-22 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.27 | $4.89 |
| 09-22 00:21 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.7 | $4.35 |