PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zivolas

0xf9e172942a2bd1ebe961abf9e322ee71cbd7421f

Realised P&L
$-217.30
Volume
$18.6k
Markets traded
533
Open portfolio
$35.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded533
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 22? · Yes0.5301.000$8.00+$3.76
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 22? · Yes0.7200.995$6.76+$1.87
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22? · Yes0.8201.000$5.90+$1.06
Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30? · Yes0.2900.275$4.64$0.25
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No0.7000.455$3.28$1.76
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 23? · Yes0.2100.215$2.69+$0.06
Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 24°C on September 23? · Yes0.5600.775$2.58+$0.72
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 23? · Yes0.3000.190$1.16$0.67
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026? · Yes0.4600.019$0.24$5.47
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 22? · Yes0.2500.001$0.00$2.29
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 22? · Yes0.6800.001$0.00$4.89
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 14? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$5.70
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 15? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$5.72
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 10? · Yes0.8300.000$0.00$4.72
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 20? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$2.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 20:27Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 23?BUY0.21$2.63
09-22 19:01Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 23?BUY0.3$1.83
09-22 18:47Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 22?BUY0.25$2.30
09-22 18:05Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 22?BUY0.72$4.90
09-22 16:56Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?BUY0.29$4.90
09-22 16:01Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 24°C on September 23?BUY0.56$1.86
09-22 15:54Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 22?BUY0.68$4.90
09-22 06:33Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22?BUY0.46$2.30
09-22 04:28Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22?BUY0.82$4.84
09-22 04:08Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22?SELL0.19$1.98
09-22 03:48Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22?BUY0.23$2.39
09-22 03:01Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 22?BUY0.74$1.55
09-22 01:49Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?BUY0.55$1.66
09-22 01:00Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 22?BUY0.27$4.89
09-22 00:21Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 22?SELL0.7$4.35