0xf9cd63cf64f0cb57b85f3373baf63f2f196183d4
0xf9cd63cf64f0cb57b85f3373baf63f2f196183d4
- Realised P&L
- $-16.71
- Volume
- $9.7k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.50at 0.804Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$13.65at 0.712Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$5.26at 0.924Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$4.99at 0.751Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$3.91at 0.218Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 01:34 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6049999996 | $7.53 |
| 09-22 01:34 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6199999924 | $24.53 |
| 09-22 01:33 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6049999984 | $104.66 |
| 09-22 01:31 | Will Trump insult Xi by end of summit? | BUY | 0.036242175 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 01:27 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.0176471453 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 01:21 | Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 21:13 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BUY | 0.16 | $7.02 |
| 09-20 21:11 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | SELL | 0.3 | $14.28 |
| 09-20 21:11 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | SELL | 0.31 | $14.76 |
| 09-14 22:42 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5209999945 | $16.71 |
| 09-14 22:42 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5209999999 | $55.34 |
| 09-14 22:42 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5205582069 | $238.65 |
| 09-14 22:42 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5199999945 | $15.05 |
| 09-14 13:05 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5029999998 | $342.12 |
| 09-12 23:16 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5115409561 | $701.45 |