LILDURK
0xf9bf37d7120e17a716d1fc9805ef52b9758f129f
- Realised P&L
- $266.44
- Volume
- $64.1k
- Markets traded
- 211
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded211
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$108.83at 0.149Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$88.77at 0.621Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
- +$86.59at 0.448Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?
- +$80.38at 0.734Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
- +$74.12at 0.931Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 10:47 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.5599999934 | $33.76 |
| 10-16 10:47 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2879999963 | $15.00 |
| 10-14 07:38 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.299999996 | $14.95 |
| 10-14 07:37 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $15.44 |
| 10-05 17:30 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $413.80 |
| 10-05 17:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7899999998 | $72.00 |
| 10-05 17:29 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8259999926 | $72.00 |
| 10-05 17:28 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6986527152 | $72.00 |
| 10-05 17:28 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999973 | $72.00 |
| 10-05 17:27 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9759999999 | $97.00 |
| 10-05 17:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? | BUY | 0.95 | $96.00 |
| 10-05 17:27 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9639999926 | $96.00 |
| 10-05 17:26 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $20.00 |
| 09-05 09:29 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.994 | $583.10 |
| 09-05 09:28 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4899999982 | $60.00 |