PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

siick

0xf9b71663d723d28fa455db659098e1dacde860a4

Realised P&L
$100.0k
Volume
$10.69M
Markets traded
1,854
Open portfolio
$78.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,854
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? · No0.9660.988$7.9k+$175.95
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? · No0.4500.435$5.1k$181.70
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.8350.865$4.3k+$150.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.8300.795$4.1k$177.81
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.7730.775$4.1k+$12.42
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.7600.855$4.0k+$441.44
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.9240.945$3.6k+$79.01
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0210.024$3.2k+$333.82
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5230.475$3.0k$307.27
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · No0.9730.991$3.0k+$52.50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.3990.393$2.5k$39.07
JD Vance out as VP by December 31? · No0.9100.955$2.4k+$112.50
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? · Yes0.4290.652$2.3k+$798.06
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? · No0.7460.930$2.1k+$421.75
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0430.082$1.9k+$901.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 16:43Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?BUY0.76$98.80
09-12 23:48Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.05$50.00
09-12 23:48Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card)SELL0.95$570.00
09-12 23:13Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.5$300.00
09-12 22:38Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)SELL0.9484577$948.46
09-12 22:16Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.29$290.00
09-12 21:52Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.38$40.65
09-12 09:52U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?SELL0.6$450.00
09-12 09:52U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?SELL0.6$450.00
09-12 08:05U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?SELL0.6$300.00
09-05 22:01Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.16$284.24
09-05 20:52UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card)SELL0.43$645.00
09-05 19:54Will Punahele Soriano win by KO or TKO?BUY0.14$63.00
09-05 19:45UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.66$990.00
09-04 22:00Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6898711805$336.85