siick
0xf9b71663d723d28fa455db659098e1dacde860a4
- Realised P&L
- $100.0k
- Volume
- $10.69M
- Markets traded
- 1,854
- Open portfolio
- $78.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,854
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.6kat 0.377US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$7.3kat 0.595Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
- +$5.3kat 0.820Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
- +$5.3kat 0.590Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
- +$5.0kat 0.221Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 16:43 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $98.80 |
| 09-12 23:48 | Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.05 | $50.00 |
| 09-12 23:48 | Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.95 | $570.00 |
| 09-12 23:13 | Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5 | $300.00 |
| 09-12 22:38 | Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.9484577 | $948.46 |
| 09-12 22:16 | Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.29 | $290.00 |
| 09-12 21:52 | Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.38 | $40.65 |
| 09-12 09:52 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | SELL | 0.6 | $450.00 |
| 09-12 09:52 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | SELL | 0.6 | $450.00 |
| 09-12 08:05 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | SELL | 0.6 | $300.00 |
| 09-05 22:01 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $284.24 |
| 09-05 20:52 | UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.43 | $645.00 |
| 09-05 19:54 | Will Punahele Soriano win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.14 | $63.00 |
| 09-05 19:45 | UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.66 | $990.00 |
| 09-04 22:00 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6898711805 | $336.85 |