Biden8
0xf99365e3476ebaebb1754fa196d4d2ac8fdf00cd
- Realised P&L
- $-538.81
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $47.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.20at 0.740Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?
- +$28.00at 0.860Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
- +$22.08at 0.760Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$9.16at 0.904Michigan Wolverines vs. Northwestern Wildcats
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 15:36 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.152 | $9.12 |
| 04-24 15:15 | Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.23 | $5.06 |
| 04-24 15:12 | Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.22 | $35.15 |
| 03-17 01:53 | Suns vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 03-17 01:52 | Suns vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.53 | $10.60 |
| 02-14 18:22 | Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.21 | $41.48 |
| 02-13 01:54 | Bucks vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.44 | $10.12 |
| 02-12 03:52 | Michigan Wolverines vs. Northwestern Wildcats | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 02-11 18:53 | Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.76 | $69.92 |
| 02-10 01:56 | Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.22 | $110.00 |
| 02-06 18:49 | Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | BUY | 0.86 | $172.00 |
| 02-06 08:03 | Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | BUY | 0.35 | $45.50 |
| 02-04 03:03 | Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | BUY | 0.49 | $66.15 |
| 02-04 02:57 | Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | BUY | 0.48 | $24.00 |
| 02-04 02:54 | Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | BUY | 0.471459785 | $39.92 |