PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

orkoislamjisan

0xf98d6da140ad29217d24df108cd1dfed94cd3cb1

Realised P&L
$-3.4k
Volume
$238.1k
Markets traded
844
Open portfolio
$110.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded844
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8400.830$24.90−$0.30
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.9480.976$15.44+$0.44
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.5700.086$15.10−$84.90
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? · No0.9440.963$13.27+$0.26
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9200.971$11.60+$0.60
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9970.994$9.97−$0.03
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 18? · No0.9930.991$4.99−$0.01
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $60M one day after launch? · Yes0.9400.957$4.77+$0.08
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 18? · No0.9991.000$3.00+$0.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 18? · No0.9810.984$2.00+$0.01
Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 18? · No0.9990.997$2.00−$0.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 18? · No0.9200.923$1.00+$0.00
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 18? · No0.9930.990$1.00−$0.00
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 18? · No0.9980.993$0.99−$0.01
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? · Down0.3730.000$0.00−$0.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 05:14Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 18?BUY0.92$1.00
10-18 05:14Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 18?BUY0.9809999922$2.00
10-18 05:14Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 18?BUY0.9929999988$5.00
10-18 05:14Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 18?BUY0.993$1.00
10-18 05:14Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 18?BUY0.998$1.00
10-18 05:13Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 18?BUY0.999$2.00
10-18 05:13Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 18?BUY0.999$3.00
10-10 11:04Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 10?BUY0.999$1.00
10-10 11:04Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 10?BUY0.999$2.00
10-10 11:04Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on October 10?BUY0.999$1.00
10-10 11:04Will Ethereum reach $2,700 on October 10?BUY0.999$2.00
10-10 11:03Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 10?BUY0.998$1.00
10-10 11:03Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 10?BUY0.999$1.00
10-10 11:02Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 10?BUY0.997$1.00
10-10 11:02Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 10?BUY0.998$3.00