PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

eserdmfk

0xf982c1d3077a410d6d45ad43b80f842c899498ed

Realised P&L
$-67.56
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$216.16

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration52.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? · Yes0.6500.795$85.06+$15.52
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.3270.887$71.75+$45.30
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.3300.305$20.74$1.70
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No0.9200.955$19.10+$0.70
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? · No0.3100.205$12.30$6.30
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1700.045$7.20$20.00
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? · No0.4800.000$0.00$62.40
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league? · No0.1400.000$0.00$19.32
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? · Yes0.5730.000$0.00$66.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 01:39Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.33$22.44
06-20 14:02Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.76$50.16
05-16 08:24OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?BUY0.31$18.60
04-30 14:41New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? BUY0.92$18.40
04-09 13:29Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.3272065553$26.45
03-23 14:47Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.82$62.32
03-17 13:28Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.17$27.20
03-15 12:04OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?BUY0.65$69.55
03-15 11:49Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.617$633.66
03-15 11:44MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?BUY0.48$62.40
03-13 15:07Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?SELL0.6808461053$64.68
03-07 02:42Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.585$600.79
03-07 02:38Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.8209990099$29.32
03-04 15:19Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?BUY0.58$11.60
03-04 15:18Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?BUY0.5743478261$26.42