0xf9762db89b85c8e16443061aee2f73d46feb881e
0xf9762db89b85c8e16443061aee2f73d46feb881e
- Realised P&L
- $-4.30
- Volume
- $142.98
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $17.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BNB Up or Down - August 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET · Up | 0.460 | 1.000 | $4.35 | +$2.35 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET · Up | 0.820 | 1.000 | $2.44 | +$0.44 |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next? · No | 0.896 | 1.000 | $2.23 | +$0.23 |
| Will the Miami Heat be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.105 | $2.13 | +$0.30 |
| BNB Up or Down on August 10? · Down | 0.980 | 1.000 | $2.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.270 | $2.02 | +$0.53 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Cup? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.140 | $1.60 | −$0.23 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Cup? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.035 | $0.78 | −$1.22 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on September 18? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Tiburon: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Michael Mmoh · Abedallah Shelbayh | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? · Up | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.00at 0.608Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
- +$-0.24at 0.653Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on August 10?
- +$-1.56at 0.457Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 22:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.0459999999 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 21:53 | Tiburon: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Michael Mmoh | BUY | 0.4299999807 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 06:08 | Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Cup? | BUY | 0.0899999969 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 05:56 | Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.83 |
| 08-27 11:30 | Will the Miami Heat be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? | BUY | 0.0899999567 | $1.83 |
| 08-14 07:52 | Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next? | BUY | 0.8959999713 | $2.00 |
| 08-10 14:13 | BNB Up or Down on August 10? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.00 |
| 08-10 13:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on August 10? | SELL | 0.6 | $1.90 |
| 08-10 13:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 08-10 13:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 08-09 13:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $2.00 |
| 08-09 12:36 | BNB Up or Down - August 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 14:19 | Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | BUY | 0.5899996499 | $1.50 |
| 07-31 14:18 | Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | BUY | 0.4399999531 | $1.50 |
| 07-30 15:34 | Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.50 |