dgprnta
0xf975a7a9de30cbc7d07768e4e3651660de0d4ec2
- Realised P&L
- $242.96
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $325.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.239 | $325.10 | +$260.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.41at 0.250Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
- +$-10.18at 0.006Will Bruno Mascarenhas be elected Mayor of Lisbon?
- +$-15.26at 0.274No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-18 20:04 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0475685091 | $64.57 |
| 10-02 10:29 | Will Bruno Mascarenhas be elected Mayor of Lisbon? | BUY | 0.0059432303 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 10:28 | Will Bruno Mascarenhas be elected Mayor of Lisbon? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.18 |
| 09-15 09:52 | Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | SELL | 0.1685673489 | $14.17 |
| 09-10 07:04 | Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | BUY | 0.25 | $21.01 |
| 09-10 07:03 | Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | SELL | 0.2181389338 | $20.25 |
| 09-02 13:49 | Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | BUY | 0.139999992 | $13.00 |
| 09-02 13:48 | No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.13 | $13.74 |
| 08-21 16:52 | No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.4199999622 | $4.00 |
| 08-19 17:30 | No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.2599999927 | $25.00 |