Boberts1
0xf95f94fe4d7550eab97135e81ca654217e73f988
- Realised P&L
- $-5.5k
- Volume
- $294.5k
- Markets traded
- 166
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded166
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.444Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$1.5kat 0.089Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.644Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
- +$953.23at 0.266US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$913.07at 0.448Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 20:50 | Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.04 | $20.00 |
| 07-27 20:33 | Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0396134362 | $100.00 |
| 07-27 20:29 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.8519178242 | $1.7k |
| 07-27 20:27 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0229999998 | $100.00 |
| 04-16 16:27 | Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.08 | $51.20 |
| 04-16 16:24 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.12 | $24.00 |
| 04-16 16:24 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 04-16 16:22 | Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.1 | $50.00 |
| 04-16 16:19 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.058 | $58.00 |
| 04-16 15:50 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.689999999 | $100.00 |
| 03-05 18:28 | Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.06 | $600.00 |
| 03-05 18:09 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0528233942 | $89.62 |
| 02-28 18:21 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SELL | 0.2852868379 | $175.20 |
| 02-28 03:21 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $330.00 |
| 02-28 03:02 | US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $101.83 |