0x6b5379A324B894b6a9a4687fB99e961918EB1a49-1771420678125
0xf95576980d4e5edddcc28e3ac0b2947b40612280
- Realised P&L
- $-18.49
- Volume
- $336.78
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $42.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.920 | 0.945 | $20.54 | +$0.54 |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · No | 0.784 | 0.825 | $18.20 | +$0.90 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.327 | 0.044 | $3.62 | −$22.99 |
| Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026? · No | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.03at 0.772Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 09:13 | Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.7840628556 | $17.30 |
| 06-29 15:09 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999926 | $19.54 |
| 06-29 15:08 | Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? | SELL | 0.78 | $20.40 |
| 06-15 19:55 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999911 | $16.58 |
| 06-15 19:43 | Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9199999687 | $20.00 |
| 06-15 16:45 | Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? | BUY | 0.764708217 | $20.00 |
| 06-15 16:40 | Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026? | BUY | 0.0494636756 | $5.00 |