PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

wac45

0xf94f7f79cb53320d75dd720d2074843f0a56ffc0

Realised P&L
$645.10
Volume
$168.8k
Markets traded
115
Open portfolio
$445.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded115
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0200.018$158.17$12.33
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1080.896$130.88+$115.11
Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? · Yes0.0560.234$49.89+$38.05
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? · Yes0.0100.010$25.48+$0.62
Will Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? · Yes0.0460.025$18.82$16.14
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0340.022$9.97$4.98
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.003$9.05$12.91
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0050.011$7.45+$4.20
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0230.005$6.29$22.52
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0060.002$5.00$15.00
Will Ivica Dačić win the next Serbia presidential election? · Yes0.0580.043$4.78$1.63
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$3.75$1.25
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0020.002$3.75$1.25
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0440.018$2.76$3.82
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0040.007$2.73+$1.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 12:13Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?SELL0.168$1.68
09-18 12:11Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?SELL0.169$1.00
09-18 12:01Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?SELL0.3$21.00
09-18 12:00Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?SELL0.301$8.73
09-18 11:59Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?SELL0.303$6.06
09-18 11:58Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?SELL0.308$23.65
09-16 10:58Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.021$0.63
09-16 10:57Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.022$0.19
09-15 20:12Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?SELL0.112$5.60
09-15 19:57Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.922$42.47
09-15 19:55Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?SELL0.186$3.72
09-15 19:54Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?SELL0.187$14.03
09-15 19:42Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?SELL0.186$14.43
09-15 19:06Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.924$11.85
09-15 08:55Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.899$59.06