wac45
0xf94f7f79cb53320d75dd720d2074843f0a56ffc0
- Realised P&L
- $645.10
- Volume
- $168.8k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $445.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$119.66at 0.712Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
- +$90.65at 0.002Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
- +$65.17at 0.060Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
- +$48.72at 0.020Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
- +$46.74at 0.559Will Aleksandar Vučić win the next Serbia presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 12:13 | Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? | SELL | 0.168 | $1.68 |
| 09-18 12:11 | Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? | SELL | 0.169 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 12:01 | Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? | SELL | 0.3 | $21.00 |
| 09-18 12:00 | Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? | SELL | 0.301 | $8.73 |
| 09-18 11:59 | Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? | SELL | 0.303 | $6.06 |
| 09-18 11:58 | Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? | SELL | 0.308 | $23.65 |
| 09-16 10:58 | Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.63 |
| 09-16 10:57 | Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.19 |
| 09-15 20:12 | Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? | SELL | 0.112 | $5.60 |
| 09-15 19:57 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.922 | $42.47 |
| 09-15 19:55 | Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? | SELL | 0.186 | $3.72 |
| 09-15 19:54 | Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? | SELL | 0.187 | $14.03 |
| 09-15 19:42 | Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? | SELL | 0.186 | $14.43 |
| 09-15 19:06 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.924 | $11.85 |
| 09-15 08:55 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.899 | $59.06 |