wac45
0xf94f7f79cb53320d75dd720d2074843f0a56ffc0
- Realised P&L
- $156.51
- Volume
- $134.2k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $353.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$119.66at 0.712Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
- +$90.65at 0.002Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
- +$65.17at 0.060Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
- +$48.72at 0.020Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
- +$47.80at 0.551Will Aleksandar Vučić win the next Serbia presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 13:26 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.20 |
| 08-01 13:25 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? | BUY | 0.0124356919 | $0.71 |
| 07-26 19:45 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? | BUY | 0.013 | $0.84 |
| 07-22 21:20 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0220466745 | $1.78 |
| 07-22 20:16 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? | BUY | 0.026 | $5.09 |
| 07-22 20:16 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? | BUY | 0.017778477 | $2.67 |
| 07-22 19:47 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision? | SELL | 0.21 | $13.25 |
| 07-22 19:47 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision? | SELL | 0.22 | $4.18 |
| 07-22 10:41 | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.042 | $1.73 |
| 07-22 10:28 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.17 |
| 07-21 22:16 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.1260300484 | $20.00 |
| 07-21 19:55 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 07-21 17:55 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 07-21 17:22 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.25 |
| 07-21 17:21 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.30 |