PolyBot

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Traders

0xF939f485B718fFA12837A218da9aAF368174eE21-1760442077995

0xf939f485b718ffa12837a218da9aaf368174ee21

Realised P&L
$271.52
Volume
$16.3k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7890.977$719.63+$138.51
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9390.982$490.75+$21.35
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.9310.994$49.70+$3.15
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.9300.990$49.50+$3.00
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.9390.988$16.81+$0.83
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.8400.000$0.00−$168.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 12:48Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.81$70.12
06-01 17:12MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL0.001$1.20
06-01 17:02MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.002$2.00
06-01 16:59MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.505$50.50
03-26 14:59Will Trump visit China by March 31?SELL0.997$24.92
03-22 15:39Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?BUY0.931$9.31
03-17 04:36Spurs vs. ClippersBUY0.98$1.00
03-10 15:48Will Trump visit China by March 31?BUY0.647$3.24
03-10 15:47Will Trump visit China by March 31?BUY0.652$3.26
03-10 14:15Will Trump visit China by March 31?BUY0.398$7.92
03-10 13:57Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.96$4.81
02-28 07:04US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.0219999979$10.00
02-27 13:45US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.35$3.50
01-06 01:44Xi Jinping out by June 30?SELL0.022$0.30
12-31 02:10Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?BUY0.996$66.05