tphhh
0xf9151529abce6aa8357b99707ec06607cf238720
- Realised P&L
- $158.4k
- Volume
- $11.37M
- Markets traded
- 1,581
- Open portfolio
- $32.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,581
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.7kat 0.544Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$48.2kat 0.732Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$44.3kat 0.601Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
- +$31.4kat 0.704Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
- +$20.4kat 0.038Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 11:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $722.48 |
| 09-19 11:15 | Will the Tidö parties win by 1–2 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.999 | $284.57 |
| 09-19 11:14 | Will the opposition parties win by 1–2 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.999 | $185.72 |
| 09-19 11:14 | Will the opposition parties win by 3–4 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.999 | $310.02 |
| 09-19 11:14 | Will the opposition parties win by 7 or more seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.999 | $315.38 |
| 09-19 11:14 | Will the opposition parties win by 5–6 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.999 | $361.64 |
| 09-19 11:13 | Will the opposition parties win by 7 or more seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.999 | $361.65 |
| 09-19 11:10 | Will Centre Party (C) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.9985 | $19.97 |
| 09-19 11:10 | Will Centre Party (C) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.2k |
| 09-19 11:09 | Will Centre Party (C) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.997 | $705.08 |
| 09-19 11:05 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 7-10%? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 09-19 11:05 | Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.999 | $74.92 |
| 09-19 11:03 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Over/Under 6%? | BUY | 0.999 | $249.75 |
| 09-19 11:03 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Over/Under 6%? | BUY | 0.999 | $129.87 |
| 09-19 11:03 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Over/Under 6%? | BUY | 0.9985505618 | $444.36 |