PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

tphhh

0xf9151529abce6aa8357b99707ec06607cf238720

Realised P&L
$158.4k
Volume
$11.37M
Markets traded
1,581
Open portfolio
$32.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,581
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes? · Yes0.9990.999$11.3k+$0.01
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.5000.841$3.6k+$1.5k
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? · No0.9990.999$3.0k+$0.00
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes? · Yes0.9990.999$1.6k+$0.00
Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes? · Yes0.9990.994$1.4k$7.22
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 7-10%? · Yes0.9990.998$1.2k$1.20
Will Centre Party (C) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes? · No0.9970.992$1.2k$6.61
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by less than 4%? · No0.9990.998$925.42$1.39
Will Christian Democrats (KD) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes? · Yes0.9980.997$913.29$1.02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18? · Yes0.9990.999$862.34+$0.14
Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Over/Under 6%? · Over0.9990.996$821.29$2.69
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to MP or KD? · KD0.9980.997$717.48$1.04
Will Centre Party (C) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes? · Yes0.9970.992$701.19$3.89
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.160$685.85$1.5k
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 10-13%? · No0.9990.998$679.67$0.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 11:22Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18?BUY0.999$722.48
09-19 11:15Will the Tidö parties win by 1–2 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.999$284.57
09-19 11:14Will the opposition parties win by 1–2 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.999$185.72
09-19 11:14Will the opposition parties win by 3–4 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.999$310.02
09-19 11:14Will the opposition parties win by 7 or more seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.999$315.38
09-19 11:14Will the opposition parties win by 5–6 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.999$361.64
09-19 11:13Will the opposition parties win by 7 or more seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.999$361.65
09-19 11:10Will Centre Party (C) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?BUY0.9985$19.97
09-19 11:10Will Centre Party (C) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?BUY0.997$1.2k
09-19 11:09Will Centre Party (C) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?BUY0.997$705.08
09-19 11:05Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 7-10%?BUY0.999$39.96
09-19 11:05Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.999$74.92
09-19 11:03Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Over/Under 6%?BUY0.999$249.75
09-19 11:03Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Over/Under 6%?BUY0.999$129.87
09-19 11:03Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Over/Under 6%?BUY0.9985505618$444.36