StephanieMcintyre1446
0xf9076e0604e7c216602fbad86bc87473791ce7db
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $96.2k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $401.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.976 | $182.42 | +$17.86 |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.215 | $114.81 | −$72.09 |
| Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? · $60 | 0.700 | 0.446 | $99.46 | −$56.64 |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.064 | $5.08 | −$61.32 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.48 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$520.38at 0.510XRP Up or Down - February 19, 9PM ET
- +$392.52at 0.426Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
- +$250.92at 0.490Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5
- +$240.17at 0.530Will Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?
- +$231.02at 0.137Will Solstice launch a token by March 31 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 05:11 | Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $24.44 |
| 06-15 16:00 | Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $11.20 |
| 04-27 10:14 | Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $2.70 |
| 04-27 08:02 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $272.58 |
| 04-27 07:59 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $166.32 |
| 04-27 07:56 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $240.90 |
| 04-23 09:40 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $700.40 |
| 04-08 00:53 | Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $187.44 |
| 04-07 09:29 | Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $9.48 |
| 04-07 08:53 | Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 10+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6) | BUY | 0.43 | $397.75 |
| 03-26 03:56 | Will Igor Jesus score the most goals in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | SELL | 0.11 | $23.32 |
| 03-26 03:54 | Will Igor Jesus score the most goals in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | SELL | 0.11 | $28.49 |
| 03-26 03:53 | Will Igor Jesus score the most goals in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | SELL | 0.11 | $28.82 |
| 03-26 03:52 | Will Igor Jesus score the most goals in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.43 |
| 03-24 08:59 | Will "Epstein" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29) | SELL | 0.37 | $72.89 |