0xf8dD9B5e97b3331Dd12AAd70f247168f5479AB18-1775611576209
0xf8dd9b5e97b3331dd12aad70f247168f5479ab18
- Realised P&L
- $-34.01
- Volume
- $20.4k
- Markets traded
- 708
- Open portfolio
- $10.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded708
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.85at 0.009Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$49.95at 0.011Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
- +$26.68at 0.299Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
- +$21.45at 0.260Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
- +$17.19at 0.312LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:27 | Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.82 | $1.03 |
| 09-17 06:27 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.69 | $1.01 |
| 09-17 06:27 | Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.64 | $1.03 |
| 09-17 06:27 | Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 09-17 06:26 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.076 | $1.52 |
| 07-01 03:18 | Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.12 | $3.06 |
| 06-30 12:47 | Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30? | SELL | 0.98 | $3.29 |
| 06-30 12:47 | Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 06-30 12:47 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.292 | $1.93 |
| 06-30 12:29 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.01 |
| 06-30 12:29 | Trump out as President by June 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.01 |
| 06-30 12:29 | Solana all time high by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.01 |
| 06-30 12:29 | Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 12:29 | Will Tim Walz resign by June 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.01 |
| 06-30 12:29 | Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.02 |