nananananananana
0xf8db79ef826e261975dfb10369399cb9c1d557e2
- Realised P&L
- $-215.50
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $700.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$174.22at 0.107Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$111.24at 0.124Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$98.50at 0.507Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$73.51at 0.357Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
- +$71.89at 0.610Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 16:36 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0519999998 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 16:37 | Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 16:35 | Will Otzma Yehudit win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.100697906 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 16:35 | Will Yisrael Beiteinu win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0240413511 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 16:32 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 10-19 16:32 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 15:35 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.22 | $13.20 |
| 10-19 15:03 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 10-18 18:27 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4479999914 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 18:25 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4489999984 | $100.00 |
| 10-14 20:25 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4879999995 | $100.00 |
| 10-14 20:24 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4879999995 | $100.00 |
| 10-10 16:50 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4129999925 | $20.00 |
| 10-09 19:55 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $20.00 |
| 10-09 18:28 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1549999996 | $50.00 |