0xf8da4b37ffd7ccc1560385c1beec030cb4d84b30
0xf8da4b37ffd7ccc1560385c1beec030cb4d84b30
- Realised P&L
- $-1.09
- Volume
- $71.03
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $8.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.530 | $2.41 | +$1.41 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.535 | $1.53 | +$0.53 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.660 | 0.984 | $1.49 | +$0.49 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.685 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $174 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.655 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.100 | $0.37 | −$0.63 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? · No | 0.270 | 0.078 | $0.29 | −$0.71 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.370 | 0.037 | $0.10 | −$0.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.10at 0.329Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$1.68at 0.379Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$1.54at 0.400Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$1.54at 0.400Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $182 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$0.94at 0.520SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:14 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:14 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $174 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:13 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:07 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:35 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 03:55 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 06:12 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 12:22 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 18? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 03:22 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 17:41 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 07:47 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 23:46 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $182 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 15:36 | Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 07:33 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 23:30 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |