0xF8D1c5774958547717BDaC77B8144017B79f51C7-1775125436435
0xf8d1c5774958547717bdac77b8144017b79f51c7
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $30.1k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $69.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.85at 0.379Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
- +$49.78at 0.615Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?
- +$21.31at 0.316Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
- +$13.64at 0.588Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
- +$11.36at 0.418Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 07:57 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.2999999974 | $70.00 |
| 07-05 07:57 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.125 | $73.53 |
| 06-26 12:22 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.1899999986 | $100.00 |
| 06-25 11:39 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.016 | $100.00 |
| 06-04 10:45 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.096 | $90.00 |
| 06-04 10:45 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.17 | $99.41 |
| 06-04 10:43 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.04 | $79.25 |
| 06-04 10:43 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.082 | $75.40 |
| 06-01 06:14 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0869999991 | $80.00 |
| 06-01 06:13 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.016 | $100.00 |
| 06-01 06:13 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0939999992 | $100.00 |
| 06-01 06:13 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1699999986 | $100.00 |
| 06-01 06:12 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1709999993 | $200.00 |
| 04-15 14:19 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 04-15 14:18 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |