PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xF8D1c5774958547717BDaC77B8144017B79f51C7-1775125436435

0xf8d1c5774958547717bdac77b8144017b79f51c7

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$30.0k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$98.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)59.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0830.047$56.40$43.20
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.6300.065$26.00$226.00
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.3200.055$16.50$79.50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? · Yes0.2490.000$0.00$30.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1710.000$0.00$100.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? · Yes0.3470.000$0.00$424.09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? · Yes0.5160.000$0.00$101.05
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00$190.00
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$70.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$79.25
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$100.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.3730.000$0.00$50.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-05 07:57Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.2999999974$70.00
07-05 07:57Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.125$73.53
06-26 12:22Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.1899999986$100.00
06-25 11:39Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.016$100.00
06-04 10:45Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.096$90.00
06-04 10:45Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.17$99.41
06-04 10:43Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.04$79.25
06-04 10:43Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.082$75.40
06-01 06:14Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0869999991$80.00
06-01 06:13Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.016$100.00
06-01 06:13Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0939999992$100.00
06-01 06:13Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1699999986$100.00
06-01 06:12Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1709999993$200.00
04-15 14:19US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY0.3799999833$10.00
04-15 14:18US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY0.2599999839$10.00