PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xF8D1c5774958547717BDaC77B8144017B79f51C7-1775125436435

0xf8d1c5774958547717bdac77b8144017b79f51c7

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$30.1k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$69.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.6300.088$35.40−$216.60
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0830.018$21.60−$78.00
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.3200.042$12.45−$83.55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? · Yes0.2490.000$0.00−$30.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1710.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? · Yes0.1790.000$0.00−$219.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00−$96.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00−$190.00
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$70.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$79.25
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$100.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.3730.000$0.00−$50.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-05 07:57Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.2999999974$70.00
07-05 07:57Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.125$73.53
06-26 12:22Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.1899999986$100.00
06-25 11:39Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.016$100.00
06-04 10:45Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.096$90.00
06-04 10:45Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.17$99.41
06-04 10:43Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.04$79.25
06-04 10:43Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.082$75.40
06-01 06:14Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0869999991$80.00
06-01 06:13Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.016$100.00
06-01 06:13Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0939999992$100.00
06-01 06:13Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1699999986$100.00
06-01 06:12Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1709999993$200.00
04-15 14:19US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY0.3799999833$10.00
04-15 14:18US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY0.2599999839$10.00