joeroganskick
0xf89ed1ca7ff1b10dba8f142ec25b21e9bd3fb571
- Realised P&L
- $747.48
- Volume
- $10.7k
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $36.80
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$152.80at 0.748Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
- +$134.27at 0.629Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
- +$71.71at 0.750Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?
- +$68.50at 0.897Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?
- +$63.93at 0.626Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 17:08 | Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 21:35 | Will Tommy Hilfiger attend the US Open Finals? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 09-11 22:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 22:55 | Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999914 | $4.00 |
| 09-09 21:21 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 21:19 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.6229999672 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 19:07 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 19:06 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | SELL | 0.998 | $674.90 |
| 09-07 15:23 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | BUY | 0.9099999997 | $86.05 |
| 09-07 15:21 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | BUY | 0.89 | $517.70 |
| 09-06 16:11 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.7399999999 | $448.16 |
| 09-06 15:52 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 15:13 | Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 09-01 12:39 | Will Serena Williams attend the US Open Finals? | BUY | 0.1866666667 | $11.20 |
| 08-28 22:54 | Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan? | SELL | 0.995 | $290.96 |