0xf872e3d9c1ca9c6c479d5e73a89e51e2c65ddbf1
0xf872e3d9c1ca9c6c479d5e73a89e51e2c65ddbf1
- Realised P&L
- $9.93
- Volume
- $295.51
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $8.85
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.430 | $2.05 | +$1.05 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.998 | $1.69 | +$0.69 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.800 | 0.775 | $1.48 | −$0.05 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.315 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.415 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $219 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.200 | $0.47 | −$0.53 |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.130 | $0.46 | −$0.54 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.135 | $0.36 | −$0.64 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? · No | 0.480 | 0.150 | $0.31 | −$0.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.80at 0.247WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 26?
- +$4.31at 0.268Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$3.60at 0.304Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$3.51at 0.227Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.93at 0.349Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 23:03 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 15:01 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 06:44 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 22:43 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $219 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:27 | Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 03:49 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:36 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:16 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:26 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 04:16 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 20:10 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:10 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 04:07 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:11 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:15 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |