oio12
0xf860f64a7195b36d097433dc0962b75e5e5c2228
- Realised P&L
- $45.69
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 397
- Open portfolio
- $65.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded397
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.31at 0.062Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)
- +$21.35at 0.266Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
- +$15.90at 0.268Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?
- +$14.40at 0.367Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees
- +$13.69at 0.420US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 12:20 | Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $6.62 |
| 08-11 12:19 | Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $4.58 |
| 08-11 12:14 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.984 | $5.45 |
| 08-06 03:35 | Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.389999969 | $7.43 |
| 08-06 03:24 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.89 |
| 08-06 01:50 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999745 | $4.66 |
| 08-06 01:50 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999713 | $4.51 |
| 08-06 01:48 | Will HBO Max win the most Emmys? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.05 |
| 08-05 22:59 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.085 | $5.26 |
| 08-05 21:28 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.9859999994 | $10.01 |
| 08-05 13:11 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $7.04 |
| 08-05 07:42 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $8.54 |
| 08-05 06:10 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | BUY | 0.43999997 | $7.63 |
| 08-04 23:15 | Will HBO Max win the most Emmys? | BUY | 0.3399999753 | $6.05 |
| 07-29 04:48 | Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series? | BUY | 0.2799999698 | $4.82 |