PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

oio12

0xf860f64a7195b36d097433dc0962b75e5e5c2228

Realised P&L
$45.69
Volume
$8.7k
Markets traded
397
Open portfolio
$65.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded397
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? · Yes0.3900.670$12.76+$5.33
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? · No0.5400.960$12.52+$5.48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.3900.775$9.96+$4.95
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.6900.996$7.98+$2.45
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.4200.985$6.78+$3.89
Will the Utah Jazz make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · No0.5000.605$5.72+$0.99
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · Yes0.0850.065$3.99−$1.27
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1900.061$2.74−$5.80
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? · Yes0.4400.125$2.17−$5.46
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist in the US for 2026? · Yes0.1090.008$0.45−$5.68
Will Jamie Lee Curtis – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$5.07
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5800.000$0.00−$9.84
Will AT&T (T) Q2 total revenue be above $31.8B? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8300.000$0.00−$8.88
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5 · Over0.5400.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-11 12:20Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?SELL0.8$6.62
08-11 12:19Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?SELL0.19$4.58
08-11 12:14US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?SELL0.984$5.45
08-06 03:35Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?BUY0.389999969$7.43
08-06 03:24Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.42$2.89
08-06 01:50Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?BUY0.1799999745$4.66
08-06 01:50Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?BUY0.1799999713$4.51
08-06 01:48Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?SELL0.34$6.05
08-05 22:59Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?BUY0.085$5.26
08-05 21:28Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.9859999994$10.01
08-05 13:11Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?BUY0.54$7.04
08-05 07:42Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.19$8.54
08-05 06:10Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?BUY0.43999997$7.63
08-04 23:15Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?BUY0.3399999753$6.05
07-29 04:48Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?BUY0.2799999698$4.82