PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Ainur2000

0xf85ad6b0e9bb0760da4bbad657c88b22f2baa2ed

Realised P&L
$-662.88
Volume
$69.7k
Markets traded
238
Open portfolio
$10.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded238
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0370.029$3.99−$1.01
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 9? · Yes0.1830.175$3.81−$0.19
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 8? · Yes0.0490.037$2.27−$0.73
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 3 Colombia? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$3.00
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00−$15.42
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on September 10? · Yes0.1890.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$9.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 20? · Yes0.0760.000$0.00−$7.53
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on September 1? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00−$10.83
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 4? · No0.0350.000$0.00−$11.95
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 15? · Yes0.1070.000$0.00−$1.71
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Up0.1400.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 29? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 19:43Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 9?BUY0.1835748766$4.00
10-08 19:21Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?SELL0.0093736831$3.63
10-08 19:20Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.0369602345$5.00
10-08 18:43Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 8?BUY0.0489999998$3.00
10-07 03:50Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 7?BUY0.1099999987$5.00
10-06 18:29Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 6?BUY0.6899999821$5.00
10-06 14:47Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 6?BUY0.2536585168$2.00
10-06 14:37Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 6?SELL0.5271257006$6.58
10-06 06:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETBUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-06 06:22Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETBUY0.109999989$1.00
10-06 06:16Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETBUY0.4299998882$1.00
10-06 04:36Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 6?BUY0.2401306311$3.00
09-21 08:53Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETBUY0.6899999586$1.00
09-21 08:49Will the Russian Ecological Party “The Greens” win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?SELL0.002$0.30
09-21 08:49Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?SELL0.0062$1.40