Ainur2000
0xf85ad6b0e9bb0760da4bbad657c88b22f2baa2ed
- Realised P&L
- $-662.88
- Volume
- $69.7k
- Markets traded
- 238
- Open portfolio
- $10.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded238
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.83at 0.049Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 31?
- +$96.16at 0.068Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
- +$90.90at 0.057Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$83.78at 0.022Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on June 2?
- +$13.73at 0.108Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 19:43 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.1835748766 | $4.00 |
| 10-08 19:21 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? | SELL | 0.0093736831 | $3.63 |
| 10-08 19:20 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0369602345 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 18:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.0489999998 | $3.00 |
| 10-07 03:50 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.1099999987 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 18:29 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 14:47 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.2536585168 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 14:37 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.5271257006 | $6.58 |
| 10-06 06:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 06:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 06:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 04:36 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.2401306311 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 08:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 08:49 | Will the Russian Ecological Party “The Greens” win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.30 |
| 09-21 08:49 | Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.0062 | $1.40 |