sin-e
0xf836b29f30e1ecfc5d5916deb307c929dfd21196
- Realised P&L
- $-27.31
- Volume
- $691.57
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $6.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.44at 0.450Will Eric Adams drop out?
- +$1.13at 0.640US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
- +$0.33at 0.027Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
- +$-1.86at 0.074Will Mary Lou McDonald win the Irish Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-18 20:06 | Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.2409999541 | $3.00 |
| 05-18 20:04 | Will there be at least 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 05-18 20:03 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.269999937 | $3.00 |
| 05-18 20:03 | Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.2876032849 | $6.00 |
| 05-18 19:57 | Will Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election? | BUY | 0.0839999854 | $5.00 |
| 05-18 19:50 | Will Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election? | BUY | 0.0834989912 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 17:03 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-09-09? | BUY | 0.2199999654 | $3.81 |
| 09-09 17:03 | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | SELL | 0.03 | $3.33 |
| 09-08 14:25 | Will Mary Lou McDonald win the Irish Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0050310881 | $0.14 |
| 09-07 21:44 | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BUY | 0.0270000003 | $3.00 |
| 09-07 18:40 | Fed rate cut by October meeting? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 18:40 | Fed rate cut by September meeting? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 18:37 | Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 15? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 18:36 | Israel strike on Yemen by September 15? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 18:36 | Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |