0xf8260735df0b6e020f46f6fc1b5e6dd48db7ad9e
- Realised P&L
- $916.94
- Volume
- $57.6k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $20.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.875 | $8.8k | +$50.00 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.693 | 0.695 | $6.1k | +$15.89 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.655 | $5.9k | +$315.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.636Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek
- +$437.50at 0.750Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?
- +$212.23at 0.885Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$31.20at 0.760Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
- +$-997.18at 0.711Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 09:59 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7 | $2.0k |
| 09-16 09:47 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $1.6k |
| 09-10 10:04 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.7k |
| 08-31 14:00 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.45 | $2.3k |
| 08-22 22:56 | Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek | SELL | 0.999 | $5.0k |
| 08-22 21:17 | Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek | BUY | 0.66 | $1.3k |
| 08-22 21:13 | Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek | BUY | 0.6 | $1.8k |
| 08-22 21:12 | Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek | SELL | 0.39 | $1.2k |
| 08-22 18:57 | Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek | BUY | 0.7 | $2.1k |
| 08-20 09:53 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $6.19 |