Degenergy
0xf804eb6595e8fd8ddfef186a7118d72cfbe08758
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $132.7k
- Markets traded
- 426
- Open portfolio
- $132.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded426
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? · No | 0.110 | 0.191 | $38.20 | +$16.20 |
| Spread: Bills (-4.5) · Bills | 0.460 | 0.505 | $27.45 | +$2.45 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) · Cowboys | 0.510 | 0.525 | $25.73 | +$0.74 |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire · Phoenix Mercury | 0.490 | 0.485 | $24.25 | −$0.25 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.040 | $15.80 | −$36.20 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.002 | $0.60 | −$23.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.48at 0.618Huzhou: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Katarzyna Kawa
- +$51.69at 0.548UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- +$51.00at 0.490Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)
- +$50.00at 0.500Spread: Rockets (-2.5)
- +$50.00at 0.500Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 20:47 | Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $25.00 |
| 09-14 13:14 | Spread: Bills (-4.5) | BUY | 0.4599999923 | $25.00 |
| 09-13 19:23 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire | BUY | 0.49 | $24.50 |
| 06-26 17:51 | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.18 | $7.03 |
| 06-12 17:29 | Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | BUY | 0.315 | $25.20 |
| 06-12 17:29 | Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | BUY | 0.314 | $5.02 |
| 06-11 16:47 | 1st 5 Innings Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) | BUY | 0.61 | $21.35 |
| 06-11 16:20 | 1st 5 Innings Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.64 | $19.20 |
| 06-07 11:43 | Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosa | BUY | 0.54 | $43.20 |
| 06-05 20:00 | Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $21.15 |
| 06-05 19:45 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 06-05 18:14 | Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $21.56 |
| 06-02 11:48 | Tyler: Fajing Sun vs Andre Ilagan | BUY | 0.53 | $15.90 |
| 06-01 11:28 | Centurion 2: Robin Bertrand vs Patrick Zahraj | BUY | 0.55 | $22.00 |
| 05-31 09:09 | Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $36.00 |