0xf7fffac05f7eb0a9f732cb62971f8a6673ce098d
0xf7fffac05f7eb0a9f732cb62971f8a6673ce098d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.09
- Volume
- $127.39
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $13.24
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? · No | 0.790 | 0.880 | $5.57 | +$0.57 |
| Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.365 | $5.37 | +$0.37 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.115 | $2.30 | −$2.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.05at 0.628Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?
- +$3.00at 0.548Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$2.91at 0.548Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$0.25at 0.925Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
- +$-5.08at 0.864ChatGPT Outage by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 16:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.9099998059 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 16:09 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 12:47 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 12:44 | Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 12:43 | Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 12:35 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 13:58 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.87 | $8.20 |
| 09-15 13:58 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.88 | $8.30 |
| 08-28 16:43 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 16:41 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 16:30 | ChatGPT Outage by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.849999983 | $5.00 |