0xf7f923936c66548aF895190Dc138236718Ae2F85-1773765756228
0xf7f923936c66548af895190dc138236718ae2f85
- Realised P&L
- $12.06
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $40.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.495 | $11.09 | +$2.36 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.365 | $9.76 | −$1.74 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 1? · No | 0.460 | 0.485 | $9.01 | +$0.46 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.446 | 0.368 | $6.24 | −$1.31 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 2? · No | 0.630 | 0.645 | $4.49 | +$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.93at 0.432Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?
- +$5.94at 0.650US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
- +$3.36at 0.481Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$3.09at 0.485Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$2.96at 0.666Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 06:13 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 2? | SELL | 0.63 | $4.38 |
| 10-01 05:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.49 | $10.98 |
| 10-01 03:25 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.4599999882 | $8.55 |
| 09-30 22:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.3799999904 | $8.72 |
| 09-30 19:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.4 | $8.75 |
| 09-30 15:58 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.6299999964 | $8.77 |
| 09-30 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.0913179863 | $10.83 |
| 09-30 07:24 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.86 | $8.57 |
| 09-30 06:18 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.3363646348 | $6.13 |
| 09-30 05:54 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.0759296737 | $9.00 |
| 09-30 05:39 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.2927472527 | $5.33 |
| 09-30 05:22 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.0774062279 | $8.75 |
| 09-30 03:54 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.0699999995 | $8.69 |
| 09-30 02:43 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.2386270001 | $8.69 |
| 09-30 02:37 | Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m? | SELL | 0.17 | $7.12 |