IngressDefender
0xf7aa193b1d7c880db7f8e2bde9177c4559a8ddd6
- Realised P&L
- $-15.4k
- Volume
- $1.29M
- Markets traded
- 11,151
- Open portfolio
- $455.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11,151
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.495 | $310.20 | −$72.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.435 | $145.57 | −$18.41 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.003 | $0.05 | −$1.77 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on October 10? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.003 | $0.05 | −$1.77 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.003 | $0.05 | −$1.77 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$3.80 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C or below on October 9? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$3.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C or higher on October 10? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$1.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$245.16at 0.190Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 21?
- +$154.60at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 5?
- +$130.31at 0.450Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 12?
- +$129.56at 0.270Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 19?
- +$127.69at 0.492Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.44 | $23.76 |
| 10-09 16:05 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.47 | $1.72 |
| 10-09 15:03 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 10-09 14:11 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.42 |
| 10-09 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.43 |
| 10-09 11:36 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.18 |
| 10-09 06:07 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 10-09 06:07 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 10-09 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.23 | $14.63 |
| 10-08 21:40 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C or below on October 9? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 10-08 18:03 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.08 |
| 10-08 17:30 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 10-08 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or higher on October 9? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.05 |
| 10-08 13:57 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.43 | $46.44 |
| 10-08 11:15 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.17 |