PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xf7a5b1c66489e48b2236e566ee3405b8ec5e49bb

0xf7a5b1c66489e48b2236e566ee3405b8ec5e49bb

Realised P&L
$5.08
Volume
$34.46
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$7.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar14.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 22:16Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-20 22:15Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
09-20 11:51Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
09-19 23:32Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
09-19 11:05Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-19 11:05Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.749999625$1.00
09-19 03:00Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
09-17 13:33Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
09-17 05:09Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.64$1.00
09-15 20:20Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-15 12:06Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-09 20:42Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
09-09 20:41Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?BUY0.32$1.00
09-09 12:40Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.559999776$1.00