PolyBot

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Traders

simak

0xf792874d2bd4e6f80e13dafccf49948a9e1c1682

Realised P&L
$-3.4k
Volume
$106.8k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 16:03Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.21$69.93
09-03 12:22Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?BUY0.52$10.00
09-03 12:21Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.24$79.92
09-01 22:43Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?BUY0.5$2.50
09-01 22:32Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.8289188641$408.66
09-01 22:31Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.89$592.74
09-01 22:30Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?BUY0.996$0.44
09-01 22:30Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?BUY0.996$138.44
09-01 22:22Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?BUY0.81$89.10
09-01 22:20Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.88$498.08
09-01 22:19Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.98$2.9k
03-26 14:18FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots ParlayBUY0.74$192.40
01-07 22:26US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.83$160.19
01-03 12:09Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?BUY0.57$49.02
01-03 12:08Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?BUY0.57$57.00