PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf768397365a54a38878b60F5cb3Ac48B75c98C02-1758571448546

0xf768397365a54a38878b60f5cb3ac48b75c98c02

Realised P&L
$-6.31
Volume
$739.35
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$77.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0300.163$60.16+$49.16
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.5550.760$5.47+$1.47
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7660.885$3.47+$0.47
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.2700.610$2.26+$1.26
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.3900.535$1.37+$0.37
Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.0540.054$0.99−$0.01
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.6100.570$0.93−$0.07
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3700.225$0.61−$0.39
Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1130.061$0.54−$0.46
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2600.115$0.44−$0.56
Will US annex any territory in 2026? · Yes0.2100.057$0.27−$0.73
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1100.024$0.21−$0.79
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1400.024$0.14−$0.72
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0160.002$0.09−$0.91
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1800.025$0.04−$0.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-23 09:56Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.99$1.07
10-23 09:55Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?SELL0.76$1.06
10-23 09:50Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?SELL0.62$2.10
09-14 22:29Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0739999973$1.00
08-31 18:04Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027?BUY0.3899998479$1.00
08-31 17:59Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.5$1.00
08-31 17:58Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.962$2.40
08-25 22:24Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
08-15 15:23Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
08-15 15:22Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.579999826$1.00
08-03 21:25Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
08-03 21:17Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.66$1.00
08-03 21:16Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1129999064$1.00
08-03 21:14Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.0544553951$1.00
08-03 21:04Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31?BUY0.1899998784$1.00