PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Spaceling

0xf7640327547d52900a32fe33667de0fc78ca1919

Realised P&L
$130.01
Volume
$42.4k
Markets traded
176
Open portfolio
$105.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded176
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · Yes0.1360.070$102.86$99.14
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta? · Yes0.1750.065$1.86$3.14
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.2200.029$0.65$4.35
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1300.018$0.13$0.87
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00$10.00
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$11.00
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? · Yes0.1170.000$0.00$15.00
Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$2.00
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$5.00
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$3.82
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$5.00
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-06 18:54Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.0240399774$3.82
06-06 18:54Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?BUY0.0398406375$5.00
06-06 18:53Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.0127813054$2.00
06-06 18:52Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.005$2.00
06-06 18:50Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?SELL0.999$495.64
05-30 01:03Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.005999994$1.00
04-17 20:03Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL0.51$9.62
04-17 20:03Trump out as President before GTA VI?SELL0.48$9.79
04-17 20:03Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?SELL0.5084243202$9.91
04-17 20:03Will Trump nationalize elections?SELL0.21$10.60
04-17 20:02Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.05$2.08
04-17 20:02Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.046$5.11
04-17 20:02Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.39$18.80
04-17 20:02Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.18$5.29
03-31 18:16Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.0239874153$5.00