PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Mrdov

0xf751100d7c78504cfda32048eaa2a46bc9135f64

Realised P&L
$14.43
Volume
$67.3k
Markets traded
86
Open portfolio
$543.15

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded86
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? · Yes0.2490.235$241.81−$14.19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3400.355$104.41+$4.41
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1600.155$96.88−$3.13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0950.055$69.97−$51.03
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0440.018$30.09−$43.91
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 06:18Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?BUY0.2520464656$206.00
10-02 20:40Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?BUY0.2362204721$50.00
10-02 20:39Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?BUY0.16$100.00
10-02 12:01Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3399999989$100.00
09-30 05:12Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.4580301374$455.94
08-01 13:06Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0449706695$23.00
08-01 13:06Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.09$27.00
07-28 07:06Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.044106076$50.00
07-25 18:48Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0380047506$1.00
07-25 18:47Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.269$77.78
07-25 18:33Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.269$25.92
07-12 05:10Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.0899999972$29.00
07-12 05:09Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.0291995182$29.21
07-02 04:45Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.264999997$46.72
07-02 04:44Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.393$49.23