Mrdov
0xf751100d7c78504cfda32048eaa2a46bc9135f64
- Realised P&L
- $14.43
- Volume
- $67.3k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $543.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? · Yes | 0.249 | 0.235 | $241.81 | −$14.19 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.355 | $104.41 | +$4.41 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.155 | $96.88 | −$3.13 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.055 | $69.97 | −$51.03 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.018 | $30.09 | −$43.91 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$680.19at 0.199Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$208.26at 0.414Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$199.00at 0.200Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$158.94at 0.530Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$155.94at 0.301Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 06:18 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? | BUY | 0.2520464656 | $206.00 |
| 10-02 20:40 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? | BUY | 0.2362204721 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 20:39 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 12:01 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3399999989 | $100.00 |
| 09-30 05:12 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.4580301374 | $455.94 |
| 08-01 13:06 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0449706695 | $23.00 |
| 08-01 13:06 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.09 | $27.00 |
| 07-28 07:06 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.044106076 | $50.00 |
| 07-25 18:48 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0380047506 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 18:47 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.269 | $77.78 |
| 07-25 18:33 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.269 | $25.92 |
| 07-12 05:10 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.0899999972 | $29.00 |
| 07-12 05:09 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.0291995182 | $29.21 |
| 07-02 04:45 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.264999997 | $46.72 |
| 07-02 04:44 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.393 | $49.23 |