PolyBot

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Traders

0xf73f7E9C6bd1f40dC045d2a93BeC3Dd4248AEE5

0xf73f7e9c6bd1f40dc045d2a93bec3dd4248aee53

Realised P&L
$31.1k
Volume
$4.00M
Markets traded
8,595
Open portfolio
$32.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded8,595
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.7000.725$18.1k+$625.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2600.275$8.2k+$450.03
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7100.695$2.5k−$53.97
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? · Yes0.3500.315$1.6k−$177.18
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? · Yes0.3100.375$1.6k+$275.18
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.1050.080$346.35−$113.19
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? · Yes0.0120.012$35.79+$0.00
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0150.001$0.30−$8.61
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 24? · Yes0.2110.000$0.00−$41.68
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on September 25? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$2.07
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 19? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$60.48
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 25? · No0.3900.000$0.00−$0.39
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 22? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$2.20
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 14? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$9.33
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 15? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$44.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 03:15Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?BUY0.35$505.75
11-02 03:12Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?BUY0.35$1.3k
11-02 03:08Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?BUY0.012$35.79
11-02 02:24Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.1054820283$459.54
10-29 23:41Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.26$3.2k
10-29 17:47Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.0541150969$25.39
10-29 17:47Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.9453935185$81.68
10-29 17:47Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.003$38.02
10-29 17:47Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?SELL0.9657634615$125.55
10-29 17:47Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.9839875$393.60
10-29 17:47Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.8050575011$1.4k
10-29 17:47Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?SELL0.6010563199$1.9k
10-29 17:47Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.21$6.3k
10-29 17:47Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?SELL0.8$8.6k
10-29 08:41Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.004213879$31.01