0xf73f7E9C6bd1f40dC045d2a93BeC3Dd4248AEE5
0xf73f7e9c6bd1f40dc045d2a93bec3dd4248aee53
- Realised P&L
- $31.1k
- Volume
- $4.00M
- Markets traded
- 8,595
- Open portfolio
- $32.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,595
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.1kat 0.669Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$5.6kat 0.836US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$5.1kat 0.648Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$4.2kat 0.190Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- +$4.2kat 0.011Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on July 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 03:15 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.35 | $505.75 |
| 11-02 03:12 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.3k |
| 11-02 03:08 | Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? | BUY | 0.012 | $35.79 |
| 11-02 02:24 | Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.1054820283 | $459.54 |
| 10-29 23:41 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.26 | $3.2k |
| 10-29 17:47 | Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.0541150969 | $25.39 |
| 10-29 17:47 | Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.9453935185 | $81.68 |
| 10-29 17:47 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.003 | $38.02 |
| 10-29 17:47 | Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? | SELL | 0.9657634615 | $125.55 |
| 10-29 17:47 | Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.9839875 | $393.60 |
| 10-29 17:47 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.8050575011 | $1.4k |
| 10-29 17:47 | Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? | SELL | 0.6010563199 | $1.9k |
| 10-29 17:47 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.21 | $6.3k |
| 10-29 17:47 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $8.6k |
| 10-29 08:41 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.004213879 | $31.01 |