0xf734025b12c27078fc8afcfc38d1fb3811034977
0xf734025b12c27078fc8afcfc38d1fb3811034977
- Realised P&L
- $132.79
- Volume
- $28.5k
- Markets traded
- 893
- Open portfolio
- $61.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded893
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.17at 0.012Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 16?
- +$28.81at 0.207Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on September 29?
- +$21.17at 0.200Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 24?
- +$19.72at 0.563Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on September 18?
- +$19.65at 0.097Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 24°C on September 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 06:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 10-20 06:45 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 06:45 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.988 | $4.94 |
| 10-20 06:41 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.792 | $19.80 |
| 10-20 06:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 10-20 05:57 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 10-20 05:55 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.75 | $4.00 |
| 10-20 05:54 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.83 | $2.71 |
| 10-20 05:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.5063346304 | $13.01 |
| 10-20 05:31 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 10-20 05:29 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.63 | $3.26 |
| 10-20 05:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.86 | $8.60 |
| 10-20 05:27 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.63 | $15.81 |
| 10-20 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.9 | $44.91 |
| 10-20 05:24 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.45 | $2.25 |