0xf73110de5ade30c2c71980aa48e4094f9e8c91ab
0xf73110de5ade30c2c71980aa48e4094f9e8c91ab
- Realised P&L
- $-500.09
- Volume
- $45.4k
- Markets traded
- 217
- Open portfolio
- $91.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded217
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.615 | 0.910 | $73.95 | +$23.95 |
| Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.972 | $10.45 | +$0.45 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.029 | $7.38 | −$2.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$532.47at 0.475 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$106.43at 0.792Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score
- +$88.03at 0.472Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
- +$71.86at 0.741Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
- +$60.42at 0.299Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 13:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | BUY | 0.7199999982 | $80.00 |
| 09-11 13:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | SELL | 0.2 | $89.58 |
| 09-11 13:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4799999996 | $215.00 |
| 09-11 13:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $232.94 |
| 09-11 13:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.8499999998 | $200.00 |
| 09-11 13:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $50.00 |
| 09-08 11:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | BUY | 0.61 | $69.54 |
| 09-08 11:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | BUY | 0.1376102941 | $37.43 |
| 09-08 11:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $50.00 |
| 09-08 11:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | BUY | 0.33 | $39.67 |
| 09-08 11:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.9308792449 | $300.00 |
| 09-08 11:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999968 | $50.00 |
| 09-08 11:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 11:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999954 | $50.00 |
| 09-08 10:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4499999991 | $75.00 |